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BOJ: Energy Shock May Reshape Japan's Inflation Outlook
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said the current energy shock may reshape Japan's inflation outlook, but central banks should not view oil price developments in isolation. Depend...
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BOJ: Energy Shock May Reshape Japan's Inflation Outlook
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said the current energy shock may reshape Japan's inflation outlook, but central banks should not view oil price developments in isolation. Depending on differences in wages, market expectations, demand and exchange rates, rising oil prices may have markedly different impacts.

He noted that if inflation expectations remain elevated, wages will also accelerate when oil prices surge, in which case the risk of second-round inflation effects would be significant. However, if inflation expectations remain subdued and wages stay stagnant, even a large-scale cost shock may fail to lift underlying inflation.

Markets currently expect the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates in June. Kazuo Ueda did not disclose the timing of the central bank's next move, but stressed that Japan's experience shows that an oil price shock is not merely an oil price shock, but a test of the entire inflation system. (mn/u)~

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