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Citi: If Strait of Hormuz Disruption Persists for Another Month, Oil Prices May Rise to USD110
Citi stated that if shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz persist for another month, oil prices could rise to USD110 per barrel. It estimates that global crude oil and refin...
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Citi: If Strait of Hormuz Disruption Persists for Another Month, Oil Prices May Rise to USD110
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Citi stated that if shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz persist for another month, oil prices could rise to USD110 per barrel. It estimates that global crude oil and refined product inventory losses caused by the Iran war would increase to 1.3 billion barrels.

Citi said that if the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted for two additional months, it could lead to about 1.7 billion barrels of crude oil production being halted and push oil prices up to USD130 per barrel. Even if the conflict ends this week, global crude oil and fuel inventories are expected to fall to an eight-year low by end-June. Assuming the market quickly returns to a surplus level of 1 million barrels per day after the conflict ends, it may take more than two years to rebuild these inventories.

Citi expects Iran and the United States to sign a preliminary agreement this week or extend the ceasefire agreement, which could eventually evolve into a more comprehensive deal. However, if negotiations falter, the Strait of Hormuz could face a more prolonged disruption. (mn/j)~


This article was automatically translated by AI, the Chinese version should be considered the authoritative version. AASTOCKS.com Limited does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness and accepts no liability for any damages or losses arising from the use of this translation.

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